primary set: 177113 forecasts, 250 mainshocks; all bins: 228667 complete, by window 1 Day n= 54016 ev=250 P=0.009 obs=0.008 obs/exp=0.85 [0.71,0.97] complete, by window 1 Week n= 53314 ev=247 P=0.020 obs=0.017 obs/exp=0.84 [0.71,0.95] complete, by window 1 Month n= 50882 ev=235 P=0.033 obs=0.030 obs/exp=0.89 [0.77,1.01] complete, by window 1 Year n= 18901 ev=118 P=0.074 obs=0.070 obs/exp=0.95 [0.75,1.15] complete<=1mo, by region CONUS+HI n= 73602 ev=106 P=0.017 obs=0.017 obs/exp=1.04 [0.84,1.24] complete<=1mo, by region Alaska n= 46296 ev= 73 P=0.029 obs=0.024 obs/exp=0.84 [0.64,0.99] complete<=1mo, by region Marianas/Guam n= 27507 ev= 51 P=0.005 obs=0.000 obs/exp=0.00 [0.00,0.00] complete<=1mo, by region Puerto Rico n= 324 ev= 1 P=0.037 obs=0.034 obs/exp=0.92 [0.92,0.92] complete<=1mo, by region Non-US n= 10483 ev= 19 P=0.052 obs=0.040 obs/exp=0.77 [0.52,0.99] complete<=1mo, by M 3.0 n= 6623 ev= 42 P=0.132 obs=0.142 obs/exp=1.07 [0.87,1.30] complete<=1mo, by M 4.0 n= 29477 ev=185 P=0.048 obs=0.038 obs/exp=0.79 [0.63,0.92] complete<=1mo, by M 5.0 n= 40478 ev=249 P=0.017 obs=0.015 obs/exp=0.88 [0.63,1.09] complete<=1mo, by M 6.0 n= 40712 ev=250 P=0.005 obs=0.004 obs/exp=0.67 [0.10,0.90] complete<=1mo, by M 7.0 n= 40712 ev=250 P=0.001 obs=0.000 obs/exp=0.25 [0.00,0.35] BELOW Mcat<=1mo, by region CONUS+HI n= 11453 ev= 68 P=0.105 obs=0.086 obs/exp=0.82 [0.63,1.01] BELOW Mcat<=1mo, by region Alaska n= 11574 ev= 71 P=0.251 obs=0.165 obs/exp=0.66 [0.56,0.74] BELOW Mcat<=1mo, by region Marianas/Guam n= 18338 ev= 51 P=0.170 obs=0.027 obs/exp=0.16 [0.10,0.22] BELOW Mcat<=1mo, by region Puerto Rico n= 81 ev= 1 P=0.495 obs=0.741 obs/exp=1.50 [1.50,1.50] BELOW Mcat<=1mo, by region Non-US n= 4112 ev= 17 P=0.559 obs=0.492 obs/exp=0.88 [0.76,0.95] complete<=1mo, by issue lag <2h n= 7882 ev=207 P=0.093 obs=0.061 obs/exp=0.65 [0.51,0.79] complete<=1mo, by issue lag 2h-1d n= 11709 ev=211 P=0.063 obs=0.052 obs/exp=0.82 [0.67,0.97] complete<=1mo, by issue lag 1-7d n= 14557 ev=209 P=0.040 obs=0.033 obs/exp=0.81 [0.64,0.98] complete<=1mo, by issue lag 7-30d n= 30823 ev=228 P=0.021 obs=0.019 obs/exp=0.92 [0.73,1.08] complete<=1mo, by issue lag >30d n= 93241 ev=233 P=0.006 obs=0.007 obs/exp=1.22 [1.00,1.46] complete<=1mo, by model Generic n= 9186 ev=206 P=0.092 obs=0.062 obs/exp=0.67 [0.55,0.81] complete<=1mo, by model Bayesian Combination n=137505 ev=238 P=0.011 obs=0.009 obs/exp=0.86 [0.70,1.01] complete<=1mo, by model Sequence Specific n= 7354 ev= 12 P=0.067 obs=0.081 obs/exp=1.21 [1.02,1.42] complete<=1mo, by model ETAS n= 4167 ev= 10 P=0.105 obs=0.093 obs/exp=0.89 [0.63,1.12] complete<=1mo, by depth shallow <70 km n=141542 ev=221 P=0.022 obs=0.020 obs/exp=0.91 [0.79,1.02] complete<=1mo, by depth deep >=70 km n= 16670 ev= 29 P=0.010 obs=0.001 obs/exp=0.07 [0.00,0.19] complete<=1mo shallow, by region CONUS+HI n= 73602 ev=106 P=0.017 obs=0.017 obs/exp=1.04 [0.84,1.23] complete<=1mo shallow, by region Alaska n= 38596 ev= 63 P=0.032 obs=0.029 obs/exp=0.90 [0.70,1.05] complete<=1mo shallow, by region Marianas/Guam n= 18699 ev= 33 P=0.005 obs=0.000 obs/exp=0.00 [0.00,0.00] complete<=1mo shallow, by region Puerto Rico n= 324 ev= 1 P=0.037 obs=0.034 obs/exp=0.92 [0.92,0.92] complete<=1mo shallow, by region Non-US n= 10321 ev= 18 P=0.051 obs=0.041 obs/exp=0.79 [0.51,1.01]