complete<=1mo [0.00,0.01) n=133902 ev=250 P=0.001 obs=0.001 [0.001,0.001] complete<=1mo [0.01,0.03) n= 9387 ev=234 P=0.018 obs=0.019 [0.013,0.025] complete<=1mo [0.03,0.10) n= 7540 ev=214 P=0.056 obs=0.048 [0.036,0.060] complete<=1mo [0.10,0.30) n= 4282 ev=177 P=0.176 obs=0.154 [0.123,0.184] complete<=1mo [0.30,0.60) n= 1888 ev=119 P=0.422 obs=0.345 [0.281,0.404] complete<=1mo [0.60,1.00) n= 1213 ev= 46 P=0.830 obs=0.721 [0.618,0.786] complete<=1mo CONUS+AK [0.00,0.01) n=101105 ev=179 P=0.001 obs=0.001 [0.001,0.001] complete<=1mo CONUS+AK [0.01,0.03) n= 7078 ev=169 P=0.018 obs=0.023 [0.016,0.031] complete<=1mo CONUS+AK [0.03,0.10) n= 5767 ev=154 P=0.056 obs=0.058 [0.044,0.074] complete<=1mo CONUS+AK [0.10,0.30) n= 3447 ev=135 P=0.176 obs=0.162 [0.128,0.197] complete<=1mo CONUS+AK [0.30,0.60) n= 1566 ev=105 P=0.422 obs=0.349 [0.281,0.416] complete<=1mo CONUS+AK [0.60,1.00) n= 935 ev= 36 P=0.826 obs=0.739 [0.622,0.810] below Mcat<=1mo [0.00,0.01) n= 11994 ev=174 P=0.003 obs=0.009 [0.006,0.012] below Mcat<=1mo [0.01,0.03) n= 6519 ev=182 P=0.018 obs=0.018 [0.013,0.024] below Mcat<=1mo [0.03,0.10) n= 7937 ev=193 P=0.058 obs=0.041 [0.034,0.050] below Mcat<=1mo [0.10,0.30) n= 7882 ev=191 P=0.182 obs=0.082 [0.066,0.100] below Mcat<=1mo [0.30,0.60) n= 4958 ev=168 P=0.436 obs=0.171 [0.138,0.208] below Mcat<=1mo [0.60,1.00) n= 6268 ev=145 P=0.850 obs=0.548 [0.431,0.631] 95% range 1 Day n= 2852 ev=202 coverage=0.987 [0.981,0.993] above=0.012 below=0.001 95% range 1 Week n= 5385 ev=211 coverage=0.979 [0.966,0.989] above=0.020 below=0.001 95% range 1 Month n= 8007 ev=203 coverage=0.974 [0.961,0.984] above=0.025 below=0.001 95% range 1 Year n= 5901 ev=112 coverage=0.963 [0.934,0.986] above=0.037 below=0.000 PIT deciles (P>=0.1, n=7010): [0.119 0.108 0.108 0.109 0.108 0.099 0.102 0.088 0.072 0.087] complete<=1mo published vs generic RJ n=140557 ev=206 +0.0080 [+0.0052,+0.0112] complete<=1mo published vs background n=140557 ev=206 +0.0381 [+0.0193,+0.0623] complete<=1mo published+background vs published n=140557 ev=206 -0.0003 [-0.0015,+0.0011] complete<=1mo Brier skill vs generic n=140557 ev=206 +0.1517 [+0.0955,+0.2041] complete<=1mo Brier skill vs background n=140557 ev=206 +0.2484 [+0.1273,+0.3318] complete 1 Year published vs generic RJ n= 15962 ev=94 +0.0221 [+0.0064,+0.0377] complete 1 Year published vs background n= 15962 ev=94 +0.0069 [-0.0380,+0.0521] complete 1 Year published+background vs published n= 15962 ev=94 -0.0048 [-0.0398,+0.0383] complete 1 Year Brier skill vs generic n= 15962 ev=94 +0.1695 [+0.0656,+0.2836] complete 1 Year Brier skill vs background n= 15962 ev=94 +0.0055 [-0.4488,+0.2936] 1-year Brier skill vs background +0.006; leave-one-mainshock-out range -0.087 to +0.149; most influential: nc75111126 (+0.149 without it), nn00888580 (-0.087 without it)